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Latin America: An economic recovery in sight

| December 18, 2017 | 0 Comments
Latin America: An economic recovery in sight

Latin America will enter 2018 on the path to economic recovery from a long recession after the end of the commodities boom of the early 2000s. The region is still smarting under pressures brought to bear by U.S. President Donald Trump on undocumented migrants and especially on Mexico, thanks to his stated aim to renegotiate […]

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Russia and Eurasia: Limited advances in 2018

Russia and Eurasia: Limited advances in 2018

In 2018, Russia will retain its renewed prominent place on the world stage. Vladimir Putin’s vision and military spending have made his country a major player in Syria and the Middle East. In Europe, involvement in Ukraine and the absorption of Crimea continue despite western sanctions, and, across the continent, Russian support fuels nationalist politicians who are […]

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Africa: Not much reason for optimism

| December 18, 2017 | 0 Comments
Africa: Not much reason for optimism

Terrorism, civil conflict, global warming, population growth, urbanization, education, economic sustainability, managing China, strengthening leadership and improving governance are Africa’s 10 most pressing problems as 2018 unfolds. None of these acute challenges is new, but 2018 will see each of them become more central to Africa’s ability to improve the standards of living and social […]

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Canada and the U.S.: Trade tremours

| December 18, 2017 | 0 Comments
Canada and the U.S.: Trade tremours

Looking ahead at what to expect from the U.S. and Canada in 2018 means thinking about the concepts of “disconnect” and attempts to make connections. For the U.S., a disconnect is likely to continue between political institutions and constituents. That disconnect will also continue with Canada bilaterally and with many countries — thanks to American […]

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Asia: Economic growth; political flux

| December 18, 2017 | 0 Comments
Asia: Economic growth; political flux

In the fall of 2017, there were two events in Asia that will set regional patterns into 2018 and beyond. First, Chinese President Xi Jinping’s secretary-general speech to the 19th Chinese Communist Party Congress in October contained his declaration that he would continue to work toward the “Chinese Dream” of becoming a developed country and […]

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The Middle East: Some hope, much despair

The Middle East: Some hope, much despair

Who would have predicted a missing-in-action Lebanese prime minister, one of the deadliest earthquakes in the world and that Syria would lapget ahead of the U.S. in climate policy by joining the Paris Agreement? Change in the Middle East defies prediction. Political leadership has a tendency to swing from the tedious (such as the 42-year […]

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Putin’s plan for the west

| September 30, 2017 | 0 Comments
Putin’s plan for the west

According to press reports, U.S. President Donald Trump, in his desire for reconciliation with Russia, was initially considering removing sanctions on Russia and recognizing a Russian zone of influence in Eastern Europe. In fact, Trump might not have achieved reconciliation through such measures. What Russia seeks is more than a zone of influence: It wants […]

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The Confucius Institute quandary

| September 30, 2017 | 0 Comments
The Confucius Institute quandary

The Confucius Institutes (CIs), ostensibly benign Chinese language and cultural agencies, are funded and overseen by the Beijing party-state through an office commonly known as Hanban, but are physically embedded in foreign universities and schools. There are today about 513 institutes and 1,074 Confucius Classrooms in 140 countries on five continents, including about 30 in […]

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Africa’s existential exodus

| September 30, 2017 | 0 Comments
Africa’s existential exodus

The Italian navy is tired of plucking Africans from dangerous Mediterranean waters off Libya night after night. Thousands of Africans are smuggled weekly across the dunes of the Sahara Desert from the northern outposts of Niger by people smugglers. After desperate days in holding camps in northern Libya, another set of people smugglers sends African […]

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Escalating tensions on the Korean Peninsula draw in the world

| September 30, 2017 | 0 Comments
Escalating tensions on the Korean Peninsula draw in the world

On Sept. 3, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) under Kim Jong-un detonated its sixth and largest nuclear test — estimated at between 50 and 100 kilotons — about three times larger than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima in 1945. The state Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) reported that the North Korean regime […]

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